Gold calls at their cheapest since 2015

Sept. 12, 2016

Options Backtesting Results

Historical average return: +$984.48 (backtested over 1.7 years)
Historical success probability: 36.0%


The cost to purchase gold call options has fallen 15% since August 24th as Fed rate hike probabilities have swung. An options backtest shows positive expected value on these calls historically, and they may present an effective way to play this month's Fed decision for those that are anticipating a hike.

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